Then it was unimaginable that the port would ever start its operations given the internal and external dynamics. The province of Balochistan, of which Gwadar is a part and which was to provide rail and road links to make the port successful, was on fire because of a fierce insurgency. This insurgency, dubbed as Baloch Liberation Movement, was directly and openly fanned, funded and armed by India and its political poodle, Afghanistan. Other players like the US and UAE were licking their own respective wounds inflicted by construction of the port and they had, indirectly, encouraged the insurgency. The port was built with Chinese assistance and, after failure of Port of Singapore Authority to run it, its management was handed over to Chinese company , China Overseas Port Holding Company. This route will pass through various areas of Pakistan and will eventually terminate at the port city of Gwadar.
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The reality is nobody wants war on the Korean Peninsula. After Nuclear Brinkmanship, the pendulum swung to Nuclear Disarmament. Longevity of Nuclear talks suits North Korea and may even suit USA, because despite all the rhetoric, war does not suit anybody!
South Korea National aim is prosperity Gangnam Style. Peace with North Korea is the key. War will destroy most of South Korean Economy and almost all of Seoul. Quite possible in case of war with North Korea. Of course Japan wants Peace with its interests secured on the Korean Peninsula and littoral waters. North Korea is not far from Beijing. With a shared Global Economy and Trump — Xi amity, the two are not likely to conflict.
Russia Russia does not want a Major War on its border, which can escalate. The end of US Pacific Alliance. The real American aim is to extract financial concessions from Japan, South Korea and make allies pay for their security. While they may seek limited wars or containment, chances of miscalculation and escalation are ever increasing. Quite a contest. The opposing alliances were preparing for war.
The Israel — Iran conflict is being predicted as the most likely war zone of — on the Middle East Chessboard. Iraq, Libya, Syria, Yemen stand mostly destroyed by local upheaval and from interventions or wars.
Many saw it as a Declaration of War, even if a slow winding one. The only discussion is its timing, scope, duration, lethality and effects. Tehran has no intention of capitulating to US, at least not without a Major War. Iran will not succumb to US pressure or sanctions even while employing deft diplomacy. The only recourse will be to externalize the conflict. Most of the other Muslim States stand destroyed, neutralized or mired in internal feuds.
War Drum Beat increases! In fact all of them. Russia supports Iran but the Grand Masters of the Kremlin will employ variety of stratagems to become dominant in the Middle East. Moreover, with Putin Trump friendly diplomacy, Moscow will be more assertive, and paradoxically Trump may be more emboldened against Iran.
China is disdainful of US — Iran clash. Firstly Trump Kim Submit in Singapore. A great success for both the leaders. Not only war on Korean Peninsula has been avoided but peace prospects are brighter. Never mind nuclear disarmament by North Korea is a long term affair, if at all. His message is clear.
America will lead to become the Great Again everyone Europeans will pay. Washington believes while EU plays along with Tehran, when war looms the Western Alliance will close ranks and rain hell on Tehran. Both President Putin and President Trump spoke their minds as great leaders do. Both may influence each other in global affairs to an extent. Iran containment is the only subject on which President Trump and team Pompeo, Bolton, Mattis and others speak with one voice along with the broader public view.
In essence USA is united on stopping Iran. If Iran plans to march forward, then a titanic clash is inevitable. Nitzan Alon. This theme has been subscribed by myself in my numerous writings and TV programs. The challenge ahead of an Iran War will have to be dealt by the Political Elite. If a war against Iran actually takes place, it will have profound effects on Pakistan. The Pakistani people have the resilience, its soldiers heroic, brave and self-sacrificing.
Pakistan and Geopolitics
GWADAR ON THE GLOBAL CHESSBOARD
The reality is nobody wants war on the Korean Peninsula. After Nuclear Brinkmanship, the pendulum swung to Nuclear Disarmament. Longevity of Nuclear talks suits North Korea and may even suit USA, because despite all the rhetoric, war does not suit anybody! South Korea National aim is prosperity Gangnam Style.
Next War on the Global Chessboard
Follow Us on Twitter. Lists What are lists? Strategic aspects of individual places. This book is not only the story of Gwadarbut has a strategic, even global significance.